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James Charles's avatar

“Testing Theories of American Politics: Elites, Interest Groups, and Average Citizens

Martin Gilens and Benjamin I. Page

Each of four theoretical traditions in the study of American politics—which can be characterized as theories of Majoritarian Electoral Democracy, Economic-Elite Domination, and two types of interest-group pluralism, Majoritarian Pluralism and Biased Pluralism—offers different predictions about which sets of actors have how much influence over public policy: average citizens; economic elites; and organized interest groups, mass-based or business-oriented. A great deal of empirical research speaks to the policy influence of one or another set of actors, but until recently it has not been possible to test these contrasting theoretical predictions against each other within a single statistical model. We report on an effort to do so, using a unique data set that includes measures of the key variables for 1,779 policy issues. Multivariate analysis indicates that economic elites and organized groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S. government policy, while average citizens and mass-based interest groups have little or no independent influence. The results provide substantial support for theories of Economic-Elite Domination and for theories of Biased Pluralism, but not for theories of Majoritarian Electoral Democracy or Majoritarian Pluralism. “

https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/files/gilens_and_page_2014_-testing_theories_of_american_politics.doc.pdf

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Riff McClavin's avatar

My takeaway from this article was the quote from the two republican senators that totally mirrors the blind imperialism of the current democratic administration, putting the folly of any real voter choice in this country in stark relief.

With 2022 just around the corner, what exactly are our real options for change? Bubkis. Squat. Nada. Zilch. Zero.

Oh, we can tweak tax policy here and there; we can have less wokeness in public discourse; we can redefine who gets what regarding public assistance, but the overall trajectory of empire remains on course.

America has some of the lowest voter participation of any developed country, and those who don't vote tell interviewers the main reason is they feel that voting will make no difference in their lives. We're told by our media that this amounts to apathy on their part instead of what it is: a totally valid assessment of our politics' actual priorities.

I imagine elites are fine with this lack of participation, and for the others who split their votes between democrats and republicans, I'd have to imagine that elites are just fine with that too.

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